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2024-12-14 09:06:10

The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)Xue Hongyan, Vice President of Xingtu Financial Research Institute: Stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Why is the central government proposing to "stabilize the stock market" at this time node? What are the considerations behind it? Xue Hongyan, vice president of Xingtu Finance Research Institute, pointed out that the stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs reflect the social expectation of the economic development prospects. In this sense, stabilizing the stock market will help to better form a positive and optimistic situation for development. Since the "924" policy shift, the A-share market has ushered in a round of surge, and the bull market has been widely discussed at the social level, which has effectively boosted market confidence. Therefore, in a sense, stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The meeting proposed to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market. What is the internal relationship between this and "stabilizing the stock market", and how should the next step of "deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market" be exerted? Xue Hongyan said that the value of the capital market is mainly reflected in two aspects: one is to serve the high-quality development of the real economy with financing function, and the other is to let investors share more fruits of economic development with investment function, which are mutually causal and indispensable. Xue Hongyan believes that this round of capital market reform, emphasizing on vigorously guiding medium and long-term funds to enter the market, opening up the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds to enter the market, and emphasizing the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors, will help fundamentally improve the capital supply and demand structure and micro-ecology, and lay a solid foundation for the long-term cattle market. (The country is a through train)


Wu Yaping, Research Fellow, Investment Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission: Enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation and give full play to the combination of different policy tools. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to integrate economic policies and non-economic policies into the consistency assessment of macro-policy orientation, coordinate the whole process of policy formulation and implementation, and improve the overall effectiveness of policies. In this regard, Wu Yaping, a researcher at the Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that to enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation, it is necessary to strengthen and improve the evaluation of macro-policy consistency, give full play to the combined force of more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, and give play to the combined role of different policy tools. It can be understood as "three plus": increasing fiscal and monetary policies, strengthening support for "duality" and "two innovations", and strengthening efforts to prevent and resolve risks in key areas. "The external environment will face greater uncertainty next year. We must adhere to' taking me as the main factor', strengthen the research on reserve policy, and fight for preparation." Wu Yaping said. (SSE)Korean media disclosed the details of the State Council meeting before and after the emergency martial law. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean Ministry of Administration and Security disclosed the relevant information provided by the Presidential Palace on December 11th about the meeting to declare emergency martial law and lift martial law. According to the data, Premier Han Dezhu said that all State Councillors attending the State Council meeting on the evening of the 3rd of this month expressed their opposition to the martial law proposed by President Yin Xiyue, and believed that martial law would have a serious impact on the Korean economy and credit, and would not be accepted by the people. (CCTV International News)The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.


Traders have reduced their bets on the easing policy of the European Central Bank, and it is now expected that the interest rate reduction will be less than 125 basis points in 2025.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

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